FanDuel Sportsbook released team totals for Power Four programs across college football, including the seven programs inside Texas. Can Texas Tech run the table. Will Texas win 10 games and head back to the College Football Playoff? What about Texas A&M’s chances? 

We breakdown each projection and provide an early lean below. 

Texas Tech: 11.5

The Red Raiders are heavy favorites to repeat as Big 12 champions. Don’t believe me? Betting the over for Texas Tech is betting on an undefeated season. That’s something the program has never accomplished. Adding QB Brendan Sorsby on offense and a host of talented defenders through the transfer portal has the Red Raiders’ stock at an all-time high. But running the table is hard. The schedule is favorable with a weak non-con and a Big 12 slate that doesn’t include BYU or Utah. 

Early lean: Under 

Texas: 9.5 

Texas is a national championship contender because of Arch Manning’s return and one of the top transfer portal classes in America. The Longhorns have won at least nine games in each of the last three seasons and reached the CFP in 2023 and 2024. A non-conference clash with Ohio State and an SEC schedule that includes trips to Tennessee, LSU, and Texas A&M as well as home games against Ole Miss and a neutral site against Oklahoma is hard to ignore, however. A 9-3 record wasn’t enough to make the 12-team field in 2025 and we’re not sure it would be in 2026. Betting the over or under is essentially betting on if you believe the Horns are making the CFP. We do. 

Early lean: Over 

Texas A&M:  8.5

The Aggies smashed their win total projection in 2025 and Mike Elko’s squad might feel disrespected with an 8.5 win total heading into 2026, but we understand the pessimism. After all, Texas A&M must replace its offensive coordinator, best receiver, four starters along the offensive line, the SEC Defensive Player of the Year at edge rusher, and a multiple time team captain at linebacker. Oh, and the schedule is much, much tougher than it was in 2025. Just look at the last five games of the schedule: at Alabama, at South Carolina, vs. Tennessee, at Oklahoma, and vs. Texas. Yikes. 

Early lean: Under

SMU: 8.5 

The Mustangs have won at least nine games in each of the past three seasons and are 14-2 in the regular season against ACC opponents. The 2026 schedule doesn’t include Miami or Clemson, but it does include road games to Florida State, Louisville, and a late non-conference matchup against Notre Dame. The optimism for SMU rests on third-year starter Kevin Jennings at quarterback and the young talent that the Mustangs have stockpiled over the last couple of recruiting classes. We just don’t believe in the depth across the ACC and for that reason, we lean over. 

Early lean: Over 

Houston: 7.5 

Houston was another team that overperformed and easily coasted past the win total in 2025. The Cougars are the only Power Four program in Texas to return their head coach, both coordinators, and starting quarterback for 2025. That continuity combined with an underrated portal class should propel Houston into dark horse status in the Big 12. The bad news is that Houston plays five road games in Big 12 play, including trips to Texas Tech, Kansas State, and Utah. This is possibly the toughest one on the board but our trust is in Willie Fritz to keep the momentum going in Third Ward. 

Early lean: Over 

TCU: 6.5 

The Horned Frogs feel like a boom-or-bust proposition in 2026 with the arrival of a new offensive coordinator and Harvard quarterback transfer Jaden Craig, who takes over for Josh Hoover. There are a lot of unknowns in Fort Worth, but the program has quietly won eight games in the regular season in back-to-back years. That Week 0 trip to Ireland to face North Carolina is tricky and we’ve seen how that can derail teams in the past. The Big 12 schedule is manageable because it only includes four road trips. 

Early lean: Over 

Baylor: 6.5 

No one knows what to think of Baylor heading into 2026. The Bears have posted losing records in three of the last four years and four times in the six seasons under Dave Aranda, who enters the season on the hottest seat in college football. There is a reality in which Baylor has an interim head coach by the end of October. But a new defensive coordinator and quarterback transfer D.J. Lagway does provide some optimism. 

Early lean: Under