Every week, our computer model crunches the numbers on every Texas high school football game, spitting out projected margins and winners. No predictions are perfect, but it’s another lens to view the matchups, separate the nail-biters from the blowouts, and get a sense of what Friday night might hold across the state.
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| Bracket | Matchup | Proj. Winner | Proj. Margin |
| 6A DI | Allen (14-0) vs Duncanville (11-1) | Duncanville | 4 |
| 6A DI | Galena Park North Shore (12-2) vs Lake Travis (14-0) | Galena Park North Shore | 4 |
| 6A DII | Southlake Carroll (14-0) vs DeSoto (11-3) | Southlake Carroll | 6 |
| 6A DII | Sheldon King (12-2) vs Austin Vandegrift (12-2) | Sheldon King | 19 |
| 5A DI | Aledo (14-0) vs Frisco Lone Star (14-0) | Aledo | 15 |
| 5A DI | Port Arthur Memorial vs Smithson Valley (13-1) | Port Arthur Memorial | 1 |
| 5A DII | Melissa (11-2) vs South Oak Cliff (13-1) | Melissa | Too close to call |
| 5A DII | Richmond Randle (14-0) vs Boerne (13-1) | Richmond Randle | 13 |
| 4A DI | Stephenville (14-0) vs Celina (14-0) | Celina | 1 |
| 4A DI | Kilgore (13-1) vs La Vernia (13-1) | Kilgore | 10 |
| 4A DII | Brock (14-0) vs Carthage (14-0) | Brock | 3 |
| 4A DII | West Orange-Stark (11-3) vs Sinton (13-1) | West Orange-Stark | 4 |
| 3A DI | Peaster (13-1) vs Grandview (12-2) | Peaster | 4 |
| 3A DI | Yoakum (12-2) vs Llano (13-1) | Yoakum | 7 |
| 3A DII | Wall (14-0) vs Gunter (13-1) | Wall | 9 |
| 3A DII | Newton (13-1) vs East Bernard (10-4) | Newton | 13 |
| 2A DI | Stinnett West Texas (14-0) vs Hamilton (12-2) | Hamilton | 5 |
| 2A DI | Joaquin (10-4) vs Refugio (13-0) | Refugio | 13 |
| 2A DII | Gruver (12-2) vs Muenster (12-2) | Muenster | 11 |
| 2A DII | Mount Enterprise (14-0) vs Shiner (14-0) | Shiner | 5 |
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