On Thursday night, Texas State defeated Lousiana-Monroe 58-50, ending a five-game losing streak for the Bobcats.
While the team now has six wins on the season, just three of those wins have come against Division I opponents. And those three wins came against UTSA, Houston Baptist and the aforementioned ULM victory, which...well, it isn't the best grouping of teams. Per Her Hoop Stats, those teams all have a Her Hoop Stats rating of 299th or worse.
The Warhawks have the lowest of those ratings, sitting 348th in the country in the metric. So while Thursday's win ended the losing streak for the Bobcats, it doesn't necessarily signal that Texas State has fixed the issues that led to the losing streak.
So, what are those issues?
What's wrong with Texas State?
Heading into this season, the Bobcats were expected to be competitive in the Sun Belt. The team was fourth in the conference preseason poll behind Troy, Louisiana and UT Arlington.
Last year, the Bobcats made some major leaps. The team went 11-11 against Division I opponents, its best winning percentage since the 2017-18 season. The team posted an 82nd percentile defensive rating after two years sitting below the 30th percentile.
And, well, it's happening again.
The defensive rating is in the 28th percentile this season, putting it back in line with where things were during the 2018-19 and 2019-20 campaigns.
Last year, the team allowed 0.75 points per possession, which ranked 80th in Division I. This year, it's up to 0.82 points per possession. And while that doesn't sound like much of a change, it is — the team ranked 272nd in that category.
On a possession-to-possession basis, the Texas State defense just isn't playing at the same level, which has allowed teams to take advantage.
As for the offensive side of the ball, last year's team wasn't necessarily good on that end, ranking 189th in offensive rating, but that's dropped down to 241st in the country this season when taking out the games against non-DI schools.
The team is struggling from deep, shooting 24.9 percent from three while taking almost two per game more than last year, when the team shot 28.8 percent from three. Shooting more threes is a viable offensive strategy — look at Baylor — but when you're not able to make those shots, it really lowers the floor for what you can do offensively.
Kennedy Taylor, a preseason candidate for "best point guard in Texas," has been a pretty big part of the three-point issues, as she went from shooting 37.6 percent from three last year to just 23.3 percent this year. While she remains one of top assist-makers in the country, she's also turning the ball over 3.4 times per game.
And Da'Nasia Hood is struggling offensively as well. Per CBB Analytics, Hood is struggling all over the floor: