Stepp's 2024 Class 6A Region III Outlook: Projecting district finishes, bi-district matchups and regional champs!

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Galena Park North Shore has dominated the region the past few years in Division I and knocking them off may be a tall task, while district rival Humble Summer Creek was the surprise winner in Division II, where things look to be much more wide open in 2024.

17-6A has a new addition as Cy Falls moves over from 16-6A and the Golden Eagles should slide right in and challenge for the district crown despite their youth. Despite losing a massive senior class of 52 seniors, Cy-Fair on tradition alone gets the nod for the district title, but Stratford is right on their heels. Jersey Village and Houston Memorial will be locked in a real battle for the final playoff spot, if Memorial gets in that will slide Cy Falls into the Division I bracket potentially.

Houston Lamar dominated 18-6A a year ago and despite heavy graduation loses the Texans get the nod over a veteran Houston Heights squad that’s made the area playoffs in back-to-back seasons. Bellaire looks ready to move into real contention for the district title with fifteen returning starters, while Westside gets the edge for the final playoff spot over Wisdom who moves up from Class 5A-Division I after going 7-3 a year ago.

Expect a very competitive race in 19-6A, but as is often the case, the edge goes to Katy High who doesn’t have a ton of headliners, but the Tigers played a lot of young guys in 2023 and that could pay big dividends in 2024. Katy Jordan started fast a year ago, faded down the stretch but they got into the playoffs, with a strong cast returning the Warriors could be the chief challenger in the district. Cinco Ranch brings back a loaded offense and expects to be back in the playoff mix, while Tompkins, hit hard by graduation should still have enough in the tank to hold off Taylor and a much improved Seven Lakes squad for the final playoff spot.

20-6A is where we first see some of the changes from UIL Realignment inside of Region III as two schools from 5A (Fulshear and Foster) join LCISD’ George Ranch in 6A, this caused George Ranch to move out of Fort Bend ISD and into a district with Alief ISD and Jesuit. Expect Fulshear, who is one of the state’s fastest growing schools to get the edge in this district, but things get very murky after that. The remaining six teams in this district can all make a serious case for one of the final three playoff spots behind Fulshear.

With the departure of George Ranch to 20-6A, Fort Bend ISD gets their own 6A district and new bi-district opponents as FBISD matches up with the Alvin/Pearland/Pasadena district in the first round. Ridge Point is loaded for a big run with as many as 15 FBS prospects and the Panthers get the edge for the district title over always tough Hightower who was on the brink of a regional title a year ago before falling to Summer Creek. Fort Bend Austin is primed for a big second year with a veteran squad and could over-take Fort Bend Travis for the three spot, but keep an eye on Bush and Elkins who both should be much improved.

The reconfigured 22-6A is going to be a tough go for the Pasadena ISD schools as expect Alvin ISD and Pearland ISD to be the torch-bearers for this group. Shadow Creek is absolutely loaded for a major run in 2024 and this could be their best team since their state title team of 2019. The battle for second should be plenty entertaining as Pearland, Pearland Dawson and Manvel on paper all look to be fairly evenly matched, but experience at the QB spot is the key for the Oilers who get the edge for the two-spot. If a Pasadena ISD team is going to contend, the edge is with Dobie who has depth and numbers.

North Shore is primed for another run to the state title game, but after last year’s close playoff win over Atascocita, the gap may have been closed a bit. Summer Creek pushed all the way to the state title game a year ago and the Bulldogs will be right in the mix, but after beating Atascocita a year ago they may not quite have the firepower to challenge the top two. C.E. King and Humble were in a death battle for the final playoff spot a year ago and that should be the case again in 2024, this time we give the edge to Humble. 

Down in Galveston County, Dickinson with a dynamic and veteran offense is expected to repeat as district champions, but don’t be surprised if they get a real push from Clear Falls and Clear Springs once again. Deer Park was a contender in their previous district, but they are in a much more difficult neighborhood for the next two years, the Deer should still be a playoff team, but will need to hold off Clear Creek and Clear Lake.

 

 

DISTRICT PREDICTIONS

District 17-6A

  1. Cy-Fair
  2. Houston Stratford
  3. Cypress Falls
  4. Jersey Village
  5. Houston Memorial
  6. Cypress Creek
  7. Cypress Ridge
  8. Houston Northbrook

 

District 18-6A

  1. Houston Lamar
  2. Houston Heights
  3. Houston Bellaire
  4. Houston Westside
  5. Houston Wisdom
  6. Houston Chavez
  7. Houston Sam Houston

 

District 19-6A

  1. Katy
  2. Katy Jordan
  3. Katy Cinco Ranch
  4. Katy Tompkins
  5. Katy Taylor
  6. Katy Seven Lakes
  7. Katy Paetow
  8. Katy Mayde Creek
  9. Katy Morton Ranch

 

District 20-6A

  1. Fulshear
  2. Richmond George Ranch
  3. Alief Taylor
  4. Alief Elsik
  5. Houston Strake Jesuit
  6. Richmond Foster
  7. Alief Hastings

 

District 21-6A

  1. Fort Bend Ridge Point
  2. Fort Bend Hightower
  3. Fort Bend Austin
  4. Fort Bend Travis
  5. Fort Bend Bush
  6. Fort Bend Elkins
  7. Fort Bend Clements
  8. Fort Bend Dulles

 

District 22-6A

  1. Alvin Shadow Creek
  2. Pearland
  3. Pearland Dawson
  4. Manvel
  5. Pasadena Dobie
  6. Pasadena Memorial
  7. Alvin
  8. Pasadena South Houston
  9. Pasadena Rayburn

 

District 23-6A

  1. Galena Park North Shore
  2. Humble Atascocita
  3. Humble Summer Creek
  4. Sheldon King
  5. Humble
  6. Channelview
  7. Humble Kingwood
  8. Goose Creek Memorial

 

District 24-6A

  1. Dickinson
  2. Clear Falls
  3. Clear Springs
  4. Deer Park
  5. Clear Lake
  6. Clear Creek
  7. Brazoswood
  8. Clear Brook

 

PROJECTED BI-DISTRICT MATCHUPS

DIVISION I

W17 Cy-Fair vs R18 Houston Bellaire

W19 Katy vs R20 Alief Elsik

W21 Fort Bend Ridge Point vs R22 Pearland Dawson

W23 Galena Park North Shore vs R24 Deer Park

W18 Houston Lamar vs R17 Jersey Village

W20 Fulshear vs R19 Katy Cinco Ranch

W22 Pearland vs R21 Fort Bend Travis

W24 Dickinson vs R23 Humble Atascocita

 

DIVISION II

W17 Houston Stratford vs R18 Houston Westside

W19  Katy Jordan vs R20 Alief Taylor

W21 Fort Bend Hightower vs R22 Manvel

W23 Humble Summer Creek vs R24 Clear Springs

W18 Houston Heights vs R17 Cy Falls

W20 Richmond George Ranch vs R19 Katy Tompkins

W22 Alvin Shadow Creek vs R21 Fort Bend Austin

W24 Clear Falls vs R23 Humble

 

REGIONAL CHAMPIONS

Division I

Galena Park North Shore over Humble Atascocita

 

Division II

Alvin Shadow Creek over Humble Summer Creek

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