Class 1A Division II Breakdown
We’re taking a different approach to our breakdowns. It is the final weekend of the season, after all, so we needed to go out with a bang. DCTF’s Jake Shaw and Travis Stewart will argue the case from each side of every game. Check out their picks for 2007 state champions, starting with 1A today and moving up to the 5A brackets.
Jake Shaw’s Take:The misnomer about a spread offense is that you have to pass. That’s not Munday’s approach. The Moguls do indeed spread you out — but in doing so, it opens running lanes. And Munday has been taking advantage of them all season.
Entering the state finals against Bremond, Munday has three different 1,000-yard rushers. I don’t think it’s going out on a limb to guess that 20 percent of 1A schools didn’t have a single 1,000-yard rusher, or that perhaps 70-80 percent of 1A schools don’t have two 1,000-yard rushers.
That Munday has three players — QB Steve Urbanczyk and RBs Anason Jones and B.J. Dockins — who have eclipsed that mark shows it’s no coincidence Munday has knocked off undefeated teams like Sundown and Roscoe to make this round. And if teams concentrate on the run, Urbanczyk (with over 1,200 yards passing) can beat you with his arm.
Munday has enough weapons to spread out the fast Bremond defense and negate any speed advantage Bremond might have. Throw in a defense that has given up more than 20 points just once all season, and picking Munday in a 28-20 win only seems logical.
Travis Stewart’s Take:We probably should have known from the beginning just how good Bremond was going to be this year – yes, the Tigers started the year 0-2, but both losses were to 2A teams that went on to make the playoffs (Lexington and Franklin) … and both losses were by 7 points or less. Pretty good stuff. It looks like Bremond has turned those early setbacks into positives and have now won 12 in a row with a state title in sight.
This is a team with a bunch of experience — the Tigers returned 20 lettermen and 16 starters, including QB LiDarral Bailey and RB Rickie Williams, who should play despite some lingering injuries that limited him the past two weekens.
If last year wasn’t enough, 07’s road to the finals has been pretty tough, too, and the quality of the opposition is at least equal to what Munday has faced. I give Bremond the advantage there.
The most important thing for Bremond this weekend will be the defense; if the Tigers’ D plays like it did during its six-game shutout streak, this team is almost impossible to beat. Like Jake said, Munday wants to spread you out, but Bremond has excellent players at every level of the defense and I think they can cover the field well enough to neutralize that attack style.
I like Bremond a lot — the Tigers have the experience, offensive talent and defensive mindset to win a championship, and I don’t expect they will be at all intimidated by Munday’s huge win over Sundown last week. I think Bremond wins 35-31.